Your prediction market history, turned into a calibration score you can carry anywhere.
Tunde has quietly been well calibrated on Polymarket for two years. Forecast Pedigree reads his resolved positions, computes Brier style calibration by topic, and issues a badge that research DAOs use to invite forecasters.
Let anyone who reasons well about the world prove it, misses included, and carry that proof wherever they are invited to think.
People who forecast well have no portable way to prove it. Screenshots show wins and hide misses, and profit leaderboards reward luck and bet size, so research groups and editors cannot tell judgment from a lucky long shot.
Good forecasters are invisible: their record is buried in wallet history nobody reads. Own Forecast Pedigree and you run the place where calibration becomes a portable badge, issued from your wallet, under your brand. The forecasters, the research DAOs that hire them and the scoring record are yours.
10 paying users within 30 days, then $1,800 a month within 6 months, tracked on one sheet.
Three applications submitted to real programs within 6 weeks, each with live usage numbers attached. Funding is never promised; applying well is the goal.
Verified contract on Polygon from your wallet, a public builder profile linking it, and at least 25 real outside wallets interacting with it in 60 days.
Entered two hackathons within 3 months with a clearly scoped new feature, and placed in or got judge feedback from at least one.
You use Forecast Pedigree every week for 4 weeks and can name the hours or the money it saved you.
At least 10 people from your group each import a wallet and compare calibration by topic within 2 weeks, and three of them do it again without a reminder.
Two signed or announced partnerships (integration, co marketing or referral) within 90 days.
A public case study, a live demo link and at least one interview or client call that came from it within 60 days.
Three paying clients at $700 setup each within 90 days, with at least one on a monthly care plan.
It reads public results, it does not take bets. Some countries treat prediction markets as gambling, so keep the app read only and check before adding anything that moves money.
Use a well known method (Brier style scoring), publish the formula, and let people see their raw data. Being transparent matters more than being clever.
You do not need to. Forecast Pedigree arrives working, deployed from your own wallet with a written guide for every step. You will click, paste and fill in names. If you ever want a change you cannot make, the custom option or a freelancer can handle it, but the first launch needs no code.
Yes. The contract is deployed from your wallet on Polygon, the code sits in your own git repo, and the name and brand are yours. DEPLOYR does not hold your keys or take a cut of what Forecast Pedigree earns. If you stop paying anyone tomorrow, the app keeps running on your wallet.
That is the most likely early outcome, and it is fixable. The paths below start with you as the first user, then ten real prediction market traders and forecasters you can name today. If ten people you message do not care after you have shown it to them, you have learned something useful in a week instead of a year.
Lock content behind a fraction-of-a-cent USDC payment, on your own Arc contract. Deploy it, become the onchain creator.
Take pay-what-you-want USDC tips on Base, with a live supporters feed read straight from chain. No Circle account, no backend.
Your own swap/bridge front-end. Integrator fee optional and disclosed.
Recurring USDC on Base. Members approve once, it renews itself. No card processor, no contract.
Write why you entered a trade, seal it with the timestamp, and get graded on reasoning, not luck.
Let a trusted mentor co sign your risky trades above a size you choose.
Your perp bot follows your rules, and every rule you kept becomes a public, provable track record.
A tilt brake that delays your trades after losses until you answer one honest question.