SHIPYARD / IDENTITY

Calibrated

A public score of how often your predictions and calls actually came true.

Rahul writes a weekly crypto newsletter full of calls. Calibrated stores each call with a date and resolves it later, so readers see he is right 68 percent of the time at stated confidence, and he grows on honesty instead of hype.

Built for

The jobs it does

Own my identity and reputationTurn what I know into income
Blueprint

How the vessel is built

Mission

Let anyone who makes predictions build a track record they cannot quietly edit, and let readers trust people for being right rather than loud.

The need

Newsletter writers, analysts and creators make public predictions every week, but nobody keeps an honest score. Misses get deleted or forgotten and hits get repeated. Readers cannot tell a careful thinker from a loud one, and honest writers have no way to prove they are careful.

What it will never do

  • Edit or delete a sealed call
  • Let a writer resolve their own disputed call
  • Turn a call into a trade or an investment tip
  • Hide a miss from the public profile
Owner playbook

Pick your voyage

Calibrated turns every call you make into a dated, resolved record that lives at your own address, under your own name. On someone else's platform your track record belongs to them and disappears when you leave; on yours, your hit rate is a public asset that follows you to every newsletter, podcast and job. Readers stop asking whether you are loud and start seeing whether you are right.

Straight answers

Before you own it

What if my score is bad?

Then you learn it before your readers do. Run it privately for four weeks, look at your Brier score, and only publish the widget once you are comfortable. A 60 percent hit rate shown honestly beats a 90 percent claim nobody can check, and the score rewards stating lower confidence when you are unsure.

I can't code.

You do not need to. You create a call in a form, pick a confidence, set a resolution date, and resolve it when the date arrives. The embeddable widget is one line you paste into Substack, Ghost or your site builder, and DEPLOYR ships it set up.

Who decides if a call came true?

You resolve it, and readers can dispute. Every resolution and dispute is recorded, so cheating on your own calls is visible to everyone. Pick a clear resolution source when you write the call (a price feed, a public announcement, a named date) and disputes stay rare.

Is it really mine?

Yes. The contract deploys from your wallet and the calls are signed by you. If DEPLOYR vanished tomorrow, your record would still be readable onchain and you could point any frontend at it.

Is publishing financial calls risky where I live?

Calibrated records predictions, it does not give advice or take money for trades. Still, if your calls are about assets, add a plain not financial advice line and check your local rules on paid signals before you charge for them. Many owners avoid this entirely by calling events, launches and metrics instead of prices.

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